4A Football Bracket Breakdown – M.M.H.
By Andy Hostetler, ESPN 977
The state playoffs are here.
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There are no dragons this season. Anybody can win. (I know we say that every year, but this year I mean it).
Crimson, Desert Hills, Dixie, Snow Canyon are all capable of beating anybody in 4A this year. Cedar is also sometimes right there. That's five teams in Region 10! Let's look at this bracket...
I think Snow Canyon, a team who has been awesome the second half of the year, has the toughest route to the title. They have Green Canyon in the first round. Green Canyon disappointed this year and lost to almost everybody. But they played Crimson Cliffs to a 10-3 loss. They played a tough out of region schedule (Pleasant Grove, Park City, Morgan) and they didin't get blown out by Ridgeline (21-14), Sky View (3-0), or Mountain Crest (14-0).
Snow Canyon is going to win that game, but Green Canyon isn't a super-cupcake like you'd expect in the first round. Then in the second round, the Warriors have a likely rematch against Ridgeline who they lost to in August. Tough game. And then, if they win, they've got Crimson waiting for them if things go chalk.
Mountain Crest is a little scary at the six seed.
They haven't been good for the last few years, but they surged at times this season.
They went 4-1 in their last five games and smoked Green Canyon, Bear River, Logan, and Maple Mountain. None of those teams are great, but they're teams Mountain Crest wasn't beating the last couple years.
Here's Lawrence the Pigskin Picking Robot's percentages for teams who are outside of the top four making the semifinal:
#5 Snow Canyon (65% chance to make Semis)
#6 Mountain Crest (23%)
#7 Sky View (38%)
#8 Cedar (13%)
Keep in mind, he's an idiot.
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If you tried before and it didn't go through we've fixed the bug. Good luck!